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notes from the lecturer in class, face to face teaching, for the module foreign policy

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2017/2018

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Master in International Relations, Diplomacy and Management
International Relations Theories: NQF Level 9 - Credits 20
Course Instructor: Charles Mubita (PhD)
FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS
Foreign Policy Analysis is the systematic study of and research into the processes
and theories of foreign policy. It is that branch of political science, which deals with
the study of and research into the processes and theories of foreign policy.
Foreign Policy Analysis involves the study of how a state makes foreign policy.
Because Foreign Policy Analysis involves the study of both international and
domestic politics, the academic discipline is located at the intersection of international
relations theory and public policy. Foreign Policy Analysis also draws upon the study
of diplomacy, war, intergovernmental organisations, and economic sanctions, each of
which are means by which a state may implement foreign policy. In academia, foreign
policy analysis is most commonly taught within the disciplines of Political Science or
Political Studies, and International Relations.
STAGES IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING
The making of foreign policy involves a number of stages:
• Assessment of the international and domestic political environment - Foreign policy
is made and implemented within an international and domestic political context, which
must be understood by a state in order to determine the best foreign policy option.
For example, a state may need to respond to an international crisis. Pakistan has to
cultivate and maintain good relations with the members of Organisation of Islamic
Cooperation (OIC); it has to support causes of the Umma because of the dictates of
the public opinion. Similarly one reason Pakistan conducted tit for tat nuclear tests in
May 1998 following Indian nuclear tests was inter alia public pressure.
Goal setting - A state has multiple foreign policy goals. A state must determine
which goal is affected by the international and domestic political environment at any
given time. In addition, foreign policy goals may conflict, which will require the state to
prioritise. As Pakistan’s and for that matter any state’s survival tops the agenda of its
objectives, so it has to side with the US in the wake of Post 9/11 and the latter’s
decision to fight the Taliban. Before then, Pakistan’s foreign policy goal was aligned
with the cause of the Taliban.
Determination of policy options - A state must then determine what policy options
are available to meet the goal or goals set in light of the political environment. This
will involve an assessment of the state's capacity to implement policy options and an
assessment of the consequences of each policy option. Pakistan’s decision of
entering into Western sponsored alliances in the 50s and taking a U Turn in the wake
of 9/11 were in fact some of the policy options that Pakistani Policy makers opted for.
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Master in International Relations, Diplomacy and Management International Relations Theories: NQF Level 9 - Credits 20 Course Instructor: Charles Mubita (PhD)

FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS

Foreign Policy Analysis is the systematic study of and research into the processes and theories of foreign policy. It is that branch of political science, which deals with the study of and research into the processes and theories of foreign policy.

Foreign Policy Analysis involves the study of how a state makes foreign policy. Because Foreign Policy Analysis involves the study of both international and domestic politics, the academic discipline is located at the intersection of international relations theory and public policy. Foreign Policy Analysis also draws upon the study of diplomacy, war, intergovernmental organisations, and economic sanctions, each of which are means by which a state may implement foreign policy. In academia, foreign policy analysis is most commonly taught within the disciplines of Political Science or Political Studies, and International Relations.

STAGES IN FOREIGN POLICY DECISION MAKING

The making of foreign policy involves a number of stages:

  • Assessment of the international and domestic political environment - Foreign policy is made and implemented within an international and domestic political context, which must be understood by a state in order to determine the best foreign policy option. For example, a state may need to respond to an international crisis. Pakistan has to cultivate and maintain good relations with the members of Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC); it has to support causes of the Umma because of the dictates of the public opinion. Similarly one reason Pakistan conducted tit for tat nuclear tests in May 1998 following Indian nuclear tests was inter alia public pressure.
  • Goal setting - A state has multiple foreign policy goals. A state must determine which goal is affected by the international and domestic political environment at any given time. In addition, foreign policy goals may conflict, which will require the state to prioritise. As Pakistan’s and for that matter any state’s survival tops the agenda of its objectives, so it has to side with the US in the wake of Post 9/11 and the latter’s decision to fight the Taliban. Before then, Pakistan’s foreign policy goal was aligned with the cause of the Taliban.
  • Determination of policy options - A state must then determine what policy options are available to meet the goal or goals set in light of the political environment. This will involve an assessment of the state's capacity to implement policy options and an assessment of the consequences of each policy option. Pakistan’s decision of entering into Western sponsored alliances in the 50s and taking a U Turn in the wake of 9/11 were in fact some of the policy options that Pakistani Policy makers opted for.
  • Formal decision making action - A formal foreign policy decision will be taken at some level within a government. Foreign policy decisions are usually made by the executive branch of government. Common governmental actors or institutions which make foreign policy decisions include: the head of state (such as a president) or head of government (such as a prime minister), cabinet, or minister.
  • Implementation of chosen policy option - Once a foreign policy option has been chosen, and a formal decision has been made, then the policy must be implemented. Foreign policy is most commonly implemented by specialist foreign policy arms of the state bureaucracy, such as a Ministry of Foreign Affairs or State Department. Other departments may also have a role in implementing foreign policy, such as departments for: trade, defence, and aid.

OBJECTIVES OF FOREIGN POLICY

SHORT RANGE OBJECTIVES

They are called Core Objectives as well, because these objectives are attained at all costs. State cannot afford to show any laxity on this count. Among Core Objectives, territorial integrity and political independence enjoys to be the foremost priority of each and every nation-state. Without any physical unity the state would cease to remain a state. So it needs to be and it has to be the foremost objective of a state. The state has to girdle itself to realize these objectives directly, quickly, forcefully and effectively; it has no luxury of time in case of fulfilling these core objectives. It cannot afford the threat to magnify. Moreover, it has to deal with the source of the threat directly i.e. the demand is made on the single state or group of states who might pose threat to the geographical integrity of the country.

In order to maintain one’s geographical integrity, a state must have arms and ammunitions. Whereas in case of conventional weapons, it has to carry out ‘finite’ deterrence in order to deter the enemy from attacking it, in case of nuclear weapons, thanks to their expensive and destructive nature, only ‘minimum deterrence’ is considered enough. The message is “If you undertake a particular action, then the cost of that action would outweigh its gains”. However, some of the strategists advocate the strategy of ‘finite deterrence’ even in case of nuclear weapons as well. They believe in the accumulation of more and more weapons. They advocates of this kind of strategy argue that it is safer to ensure your survival against a danger by developing more and more sophisticated weapons. The strategy ultimately leads to unlimited arms race and arms building. The strategy of minimum deterrence believes in just enough retaliatory capacity to remove maximum danger. There must be enough material to inflict unacceptable damages upon the aggressor, if an attack accrues. The advocates of this strategy contend that by chalking out this strategy, the unnecessary costs of arms building are minimized.

As a matter of fact, question of Pakistan’s solidarity is given utmost priority by Pakistani policy makers. Traditionally, Pakistan’s policy has been India-centric, and its pattern of relations with the rest of the world has been subservient to that factor.

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A state while pursuing such type of objectives seeks to gain almost at the expense of all other states. Further they have no time restrictions, as time limit is usually employed in pursuit of core and middle range objectives. After the Communist Revolution of 1917 the Russian communist leaders, Lenin and Stalin reiterated that they would endeavour to expand communist ideology through the every nook and corner of the Globe, as to them the capitalist system was defective and exploitative in its very nature. It was the Long Range Objective of Communist Russia, because by doing so they did not set any time limit for the realization of these objectives. So, Long Range Objective are not only time consuming, but are also indefinite and vague i.e. nothing can be ascertained regarding the outcome of the pursuit, so they are unpredictable as well.

Similarly dissemination of capitalist economy and democracy is one of the long range objectives of the US policy. After the end of cold war it was believed that there is no serious rival to the Western Democracy. The “End of History and the Last Man” is a 1992 book by Fukiyama expanding the 1992 essay “The End of History?” published in the Foreign Affairs journal “The National Interest”. In the book, Fukuyama argues the controversial thesis that the end of cold war signals the end of the progression of human history:

“What we are witnessing is not just the end of cold war, or a passing of a particular phase of postwar history, but the end of history as such; that is the endpoint of humankind’s ideological evolution and the universalization of Western Liberal Democracy as the final form of human government.”

The ‘end of history as such’, ‘the evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government’; these were the sort of statements along with Fukiyama’s professed conviction that ‘the ideal will govern the material world in the longer run’ – that rang the alarm.

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