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Topic 6 Exercise 6 SolvedExample, Apuntes de Administración de Empresas

Asignatura: Finances I, Profesor: Joan Montllor, Carrera: Administració i Direcció d'Empreses - Anglès, Universidad: UAB

Tipo: Apuntes

2013/2014

Subido el 18/01/2014

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Faculty of Economics and Business
Department of Business
FINANCE I (102329) Group 3 2012-13
Study Guide. Dr. Maria-Antonia Tarrazon & Dr. Joan Montllor
1
TOPIC 6. EXERCISE 6 : The company One-Never-Knows Inc.
SOLVED EXAMPLE
Concerning the stock exchange of the Three-Dimensional Kingdom and the company One-Never-
Knows Inc. following data are known:
- Expected earnings (profit) per share at the end of the current year: 50 €
- Payout ratio (1-b): 40%
- Coefficient beta of present investments (current firm’s situation): 0.9
- Coefficient beta of new investments: 1.2
- Expected return on new investments: 30%
- Book value per share: 178 €
- Stock price on the stock exchange: 289 €
- Risk-free interest rate: 3.5%
- Expected return on the market index: 22.5%
- Total risk of the market index: 20%
CALCULATION OF THE STOCK MARKET VALUE (OR FAIR PRICE):
Since the required rates of return on present and on new investments are different only the present
value of growth opportunities (PVGO) model can be applied.
Previous calculations:
Current situation of the firm:
Rreq.to firm = 0.035 + (0.225 0.035)·0.9 = 0.2060 Rreq.to firm = 20.6%
Expected earnings per share: 50€ dividends: 0.4·50€ = 20€
retained earnings: 0.6·50€ = 30€.
New investements:
Initial investment: a0 = 30€ (100% of retained profits)
Expected growth rate: g = 0.6·0.3 = 0.18 g = 18% (a very high rate!)
Rreq.to new investements = 0.035 + (0.225 0.035)·1.2 = 0.2630 Rreq. n.i = 26.30%
Since En.i. =30% > Rreq. n.i. =26.30% NPVn.i. > 0
Notice also that the growth rate g is compatible with the required rates of return on both present and
new investments since Rreq. > g in both cases.
Market value of one stock (PVOG model): (equations 26 to 28)
NPV of new investements:
22.430
2630.0
3.0·30
NPVn.i.
( 28 )
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Department of Business FINANCE I (102329) – Group 3 – 2012 - 13 Study Guide. Dr. Maria-Antonia Tarrazon & Dr. Joan Montllor

TOPIC 6. EXERCISE 6 : The company One-Never-Knows Inc.

SOLVED EXAMPLE

Concerning the stock exchange of the Three-Dimensional Kingdom and the company One-Never-

Knows Inc. following data are known:

  • Expected earnings (profit) per share at the end of the current year: 50 €
  • Payout ratio (1- b ): 40%
  • Coefficient beta of present investments (current firm’s situation): 0.
  • Coefficient beta of new investments: 1.
  • Expected return on new investments: 30%
  • Book value per share: 178 €
  • Stock price on the stock exchange: 289 €
  • Risk-free interest rate: 3.5%
  • Expected return on the market index: 22.5%
  • Total risk of the market index: 20%

CALCULATION OF THE STOCK MARKET VALUE (OR FAIR PRICE):

Since the required rates of return on present and on new investments are different only the present

value of growth opportunities (PVGO) model can be applied.

Previous calculations:

Current situation of the firm:

Rreq.to firm = 0.035 + (0.225 – 0.035)·0.9 = 0.2060  Rreq.to firm = 20.6%

Expected earnings per share: 50€  dividends: 0.4·50€ = 20€

 retained earnings: 0.6·50€ = 30€.

New investements:

Initial investment: a 0 = 30€ (100% of retained profits)

Expected growth rate: g = 0.6·0.3 = 0.18  g = 18% (a very high rate!)

Rreq.to new investements = 0.035 + (0.225 – 0.035)·1.2 = 0.2630  Rreq. n.i = 26.30%

Since En.i. =30% > Rreq. n.i. =26.30%  NPVn.i. > 0

Notice also that the growth rate g is compatible with the required rates of return on both present and

new investments since Rreq. > g in both cases.

Market value of one stock (PVOG model): (equations 26 to 28)

NPV of new investements: 30 4. 22

  1. 2630

NPVn.i.    € ( 28 )

Department of Business FINANCE I (102329) – Group 3 – 2012 - 13 Study Guide. Dr. Maria-Antonia Tarrazon & Dr. Joan Montllor

Therefore, the present value of growth opportunities (PVGO) is:

PVGO  € ( 27 )

and the market value of one stock of One-Never-Knows Inc. is:

MV   € ( 26 )

reflecting that 82.68% (242.72€) of the fair stock price is explained by the firm’s current situation (or

present investments) while 17.32% (50.85€) is justified by the expected expansion or growth. In other

words, One-Never-Knows Inc. is a value company.

Since on the stock exchange one stock of the company One-Never-Knows Inc. is currenty worth 289 €,

we face a case of undervaluation:

Price=289€ < Value=293.57€  undervalued stock  purchase 

 NPVpurchase = V – P = 293.57 – 289 = 4.57 €

NOTICE (I) that if the required rates of return on present and on new investments had been equal, the

Gordon-Shapiro model could have been applied too, and both models (Gordon-Shapiro and PVOG)

would have led to the same outcome:

Gordon-Shapiro: 769. 23

  1. 026

MV  € ( 23 )

PVGO model: Since the NPV of new investments would then be:

NPVn.i.    € ( 28 )

MV   € ( 26 )

being then 31.55% of the current stock price explained by the firm’s present situation and

68.45% by future growth. This means that under such circumstances One-Never-Knows Inc. would be

a growth company.