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Practice Speech, Apuntes de Administración de Empresas

Asignatura: Economia de la UE, Profesor: Pilar Tamborero, Carrera: Dret + ADE, Universidad: UV

Tipo: Apuntes

2016/2017

Subido el 20/12/2017

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1. What kind of divisions (cleavages) can we find between northern and
southern countries in the Eurozone? Explain.
In first place, there is an economic division. The northern countries in Europe
(Germany, Netherlands or Finland) have not suffered the same effects of the crisis as the
southern countries. While the southern countries have been experiencing
unemployment, high interest rates and economic recessions; the northern countries have
not suffered these effects at all.
In second place, there is an analysis division. The northern countries consider that the
crisis has be caused by the southern countries behavior, acting irresponsibly because
they considered that their decisions were going to be backed by the European
institutions. Nevertheless, the southern countries interpret that the northern countries
have been pressing their economies with hard austerity programs, what could have
make their recovery worse.
2. What are the financial crisis and the sovereign crisis? How are the financial
crisis and sovereign crisis connected? That is, what caused the increase in
public debt?
A financial crisis is a situation in which the value of financial institutions or assets drop
rapidly. In our case, this was triggered by the bursting of the housing bubble. Banks also
stopped lending one another: credit crunch.
A sovereign crisis is a situation in which, the countries that are trying to finance their
economies through the bonds market lose the confidence of the investors because of
uncertainty. At this point, where countries need money to balance their budgets and the
investors find risky to lend the money, the only solution is that countries raise the
interest rates with the purpose of making their bonds more attractive for investors.
Nevertheless, it could arrive a moment when countries could not pay the bond interests,
and this is what we call a sovereign crisis.
There is a nexus between both crisis. Firstly, it always occurred the financial crisis,
when banks bankrupt and what make the governments of the different countries to cover
their debts because of the importance of banks on an economy. Because of this, the
governments need money to cover the debts so it returns to the bonds market. The
financial crisis has shown investors the uncertainty and instability of the country, so
they only invest on bonds if they receive high interest rates; interest rates that may
could not be paid by the countries, not getting financing and achieving a sovereign
crisis.
The needs of rescuing banks in 2007 made that governments had to offer higher interest
rates to investors to receive financing, so the public debt increased considerably.
3. What side effects could austerity have on the economy?
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  1. What kind of divisions (cleavages) can we find between northern and southern countries in the Eurozone? Explain.

In first place, there is an economic division. The northern countries in Europe (Germany, Netherlands or Finland) have not suffered the same effects of the crisis as the southern countries. While the southern countries have been experiencing unemployment, high interest rates and economic recessions; the northern countries have not suffered these effects at all.

In second place, there is an analysis division. The northern countries consider that the crisis has be caused by the southern countries behavior, acting irresponsibly because they considered that their decisions were going to be backed by the European institutions. Nevertheless, the southern countries interpret that the northern countries have been pressing their economies with hard austerity programs, what could have make their recovery worse.

  1. What are the financial crisis and the sovereign crisis? How are the financial crisis and sovereign crisis connected? That is, what caused the increase in public debt?

A financial crisis is a situation in which the value of financial institutions or assets drop rapidly. In our case, this was triggered by the bursting of the housing bubble. Banks also stopped lending one another: credit crunch.

A sovereign crisis is a situation in which, the countries that are trying to finance their economies through the bonds market lose the confidence of the investors because of uncertainty. At this point, where countries need money to balance their budgets and the investors find risky to lend the money, the only solution is that countries raise the interest rates with the purpose of making their bonds more attractive for investors. Nevertheless, it could arrive a moment when countries could not pay the bond interests, and this is what we call a sovereign crisis.

There is a nexus between both crisis. Firstly, it always occurred the financial crisis, when banks bankrupt and what make the governments of the different countries to cover their debts because of the importance of banks on an economy. Because of this, the governments need money to cover the debts so it returns to the bonds market. The financial crisis has shown investors the uncertainty and instability of the country, so they only invest on bonds if they receive high interest rates; interest rates that may could not be paid by the countries, not getting financing and achieving a sovereign crisis.

The needs of rescuing banks in 2007 made that governments had to offer higher interest rates to investors to receive financing, so the public debt increased considerably.

  1. What side effects could austerity have on the economy?

The side effects of austerity on the economy could be that as the countries must drop their public spending, governments cannot impulse some policies that could be the key for recovering an economy, policies aimed at creating more jobs or at raise the population consumption. Austerity could make countries in crisis to stay at that situation for a long time.

  1. Is the sovereign debt crisis the result of moral hazard? And the financial crisis? So, why is the north analysis mistaken in the author’s opinion?

No, the sovereign crisis is not the result of moral hazard because the governments acted with a great responsibility covering the debts of the banks and ensuring that the financial system, with a great importance on an economy, didn’t collapse, what would have made the economy implode; and neither it is the financial crisis the result of moral hazard because if it would be that the case, the directors of the most important financial institutions would have been fired and would have lost prestige and confidence, what would have been the end of their career.

In the author’s opinion, the north analysis is mistaken because it defends that the fault of both the crisis is only of the southern countries because they have spent more than what they receive, trusting on the ECB; and the authors consider that the fault is from both, southern and norther countries, the firsts because they spent more than what they receive and the second because they also financed the southern countries contributing to their collapse.

  1. What course of action should be taken?

5.a. What should the ECB do? What are the feared risks? The ECB should continue lending money on the countries bond market. The feared risks are inflation, although the author considers that it is not a real risk, and moral hazard, because the governments trusting on the support of the BCE could make irresponsible decisions.

5.b. What should the Commission do regarding macroeconomic policies? The Commission should control that the countries that are suffering a deficit on their budgets reduce their spends (austerity), but not drastically because it could have negative consequences; and that the countries with surplus spend more money because the expansive policies could benefit the countries with deficit.

5.c. What should the countries do? In other words, what elements are required for a long-lasting monetary union?

The key element required for a long-lasting monetary union is confidence between countries, considering that the rest of the countries are also making great efforts to finish with the crisis situation.